"The Fed may increase QE a shocking ten times in coming years. I was expecting gold to make a low this week. So far we had a closing low on Wednesday at around $1,564. We will see if that holds. As always, in these cases where we have some kind of cycle low there is always price action that cements that low. ”
“First of all, every day around the open or
just before the open we have seen on the NYMEX the price of gold has
been pushed down, which is clear paper manipulation of the price. Then,
of course the Fed minutes came out with some of the members saying that
the Fed should stop QE. Well, in my view that is absolute nonsense.
“The cash deficit every year is currently
running at $1.5 trillion, but if you include unfunded liabilities, the
accounting deficit totals $6 trillion each year. How can they ever stop
QE? You look at the banking system, they can only survive by valuing
their toxic assets at phony values.
"Even student loans now
total above $1 trillion, and the default rate currently amounts to 23%.
Some colleges have a default rate as high as 60%. As youth
unemployment increases, default rates will average 50% in my view. If
you look at Social Security, there are over 125 million on benefits,
including food stamps.
"I wouldn’t be surprised to
see at least 150 million people in need of government assistance or
standing in front of soup kitchens in the next few years. All the while
the Fed will be signaling the end of QE. So there is nothing in the US
that’s pointing to any improvement or anything that would allow for QE
programs to cease.
"One thing that’s worried me
and it continues to worry me is the divide between the rich and the
poor. It’s increasing continuously in the US and in the rest of the
world. The poor in the US and Europe are having trouble making ends
meet, and this is a very, very dangerous trend for the world.
"Interestingly enough I was
at a family office conference recently and this confirmed that the rich
are still very rich, and they are buying all of the conventional assets,
stocks, property, private equity, wines, art, etc. But very few of
them had any significant exposure to gold. There will be a massive
wealth destruction because many of the assets which have been financed
by credit bubbles around the world, they will plummet massively in real
terms.
" The gold market will very soon begin to reflect the money printing that is guaranteed to happen in 2013. I could easily see the Fed moving from $85 billion each month to a number ten times that amount in coming years. This number could well grow to $850 billion each month from the Fed over the next few years, and that’s just on the US side.
When we discuss gold going
up dramatically in a short period of time, most people think it can’t
happen. We’ve talked about the next targets of $4,000 to $5,000, and
people in the mainstream media would say that’s crazy. But below I am
showing a chart of the 1979 to 1980 gold price action.
In 1979, in April, gold was
$240, and in January of 1980 the price extended above $850. Gold went
up roughly 3.6 times in price in a matter of months. So it is very
possible that once this market starts moving that we will see a very
fast move. I could see this type of move being repeated in the next
twelve months in terms having a very explosive move to the upside.
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