September 23, 2015 6:21 pm
Andy Haldane’s call to get rid of the money in our wallets has an unfortunate echo of Maoist China
Central
banks have never been so powerful, yet their ability to set the cost of
borrowing, put limits on bank lending and poke their noses into every
corner of the financial system is insufficient for some. Now the Bank of
England’s chief economist wants to abolish the cash in your wallet and charge you for a digital equivalent.
Andy Haldane argues the world economy is entering a
third leg of a long crisis: an emerging market disaster is following
the Anglo-Saxon and eurozone crises of 2008 and 2011 respectively. In
these circumstances he wants to be able to stimulate spending in Britain
but says he cannot easily do so because interest rates are constrained
not to fall below 0 per cent. He worries that if the BoE set a negative
interest rate — in effect charging savers to hold their money in the
hope they would spend instead — people would switch to cash, stick it under the bed and thereby get around the efforts to encourage more consumption.
The case might be logical, but that is not a sufficient condition for public policy. Mr Haldane thinks banning cash and switching to digital money would be a “great technological leap forward” but his words have more than an unfortunate rhetorical echo of Maoist China. It is illiberal and prioritises a skewed view of theory over public acceptability.
For the vast majority of the time when interest
rates are positive, Mr Haldane’s plans are simply unnecessary. He would
ban the use of paper currency and coinage that has been used for
centuries in pursuit of a theoretical contingency. Some 48 per cent of
all transactions in the UK use cash, defying regular predictions of its
demise and making it by far the most popular payment method. No wonder
wiser heads at the BoE, such as Victoria Cleland, the chief cashier, say
cash is here to stay.
Mr Haldane asserts that such action would send monetary credibility “down the most slippery of slopes”. This fear is far from well grounded; and, as Professor Simon Wren Lewis of Oxford observes, ruling out monetary financing of tax reductions for fear they might be popular is hardly a sensible position for an unelected central banker.
The anonymity of cash helps to free people from their governments and some criminality is a price worth paying for liberty
Some argue there would be beneficial side effects from abolishing notes and coins through the regularisation of illegal activities. Really? What is the more likely response of a drug dealer and client who mutually want to conduct a trade: “Let me sell you the dope on a traceable payment system”; or “Let’s use euros instead”? Cash would have to be abolished everywhere and the BoE does not have those powers, thankfully.
The anonymity of cash
helps to free people from their governments and some criminality is a
price worth paying for liberty, as professors Stephen Cecchetti and
Kermit Schoenholtz observe. It is better if the government creates
trusted, anonymous notes and coins rather than some private agent.
Mr Haldane’s proposal to ban cash has all the hallmarks of a public
official confusing what is convenient for the central bank with what is
in the public interest. Cash is unlikely to die a natural death — and,
until it does, long may it live.