David Alan Stockman: former director of the Office of Budget and Management in the Reagan administration:
The Fed has destroyed the money market. It has destroyed the capital markets. They
have something that you can see on the screen called an "interest
rate." That isn't a market price of money or a market price of
five-year debt capital. That is an administered price that the Fed has
set and that every trader watches by the minute to make sure that he's
still in a positive spread.
And you can't have capitalism if the
capital markets are dead, if the capital markets are simply a branch
office – branch casino – of the central bank. That's essentially what
we have today.
The budget deficit isn't going to be addressed, and we have not had a two-way market of
supply and demand. We now have what I call a "monetary roach motel,"
where the bonds come in and never come out. I think
we're at the last days of the artificial interlude and we're going to
be entering the real days.
We're basically following the same path as the
Greeks and the rest of Europe, and there's going to be a great day of
reckoning, of reawakening. Once that starts, there could be a rapid,
severe and even violent adjustment.
Dr. Paul Craig Roberts, f
ormer assistant U.S. treasury secretary in the Reagan administration
All markets, not only bonds, but also equity and
bullion markets, are rigged in order to maintain the Fed’s low interest
policy.
Consider, for example, the bullion market. If gold and silver prices
had been permitted to continue their 2011 rise, the corresponding
decline in the value of the dollar would have affected the price of debt
instruments, and the Fed would not have been able to keep bond prices
high in the face of dollar decline. All indications of moves away from
the dollar, whether stock market declines or rise in gold and silver
prices, are offset by purchases of stock index futures or by shorts of
bullion.
George Shultz, former secretary of the Treasury in the Reagan Administration:
The next Treasury secretary will confront problems so daunting that
even Alexander Hamilton would have trouble preserving the full faith and
credit of the United States.
The Fed has effectively replaced the entire interbank money market and
large segments of other markets with itself. It determines the interest
rate by declaring what it will pay on reserve balances at the Fed
without regard for the supply and demand of money. By replacing large
decentralized markets with centralized control by a few government
officials, the Fed is distorting incentives and interfering with price
discovery with unintended economic consequences.
Did you know that the Federal Reserve is now giving money to banks,
effectively circumventing the appropriations process? To pay for
quantitative easing—the purchase of government debt, mortgage-backed
securities, etc.—the Fed credits banks with electronic deposits that are
reserve balances at the Federal Reserve. These reserve balances have
exploded to $1.5 trillion from $8 billion in September 2008.
The Fed now pays 0.25% interest on reserves it holds. So the Fed is
paying the banks almost $4 billion a year. If interest rates rise to 2%,
and the Federal Reserve raises the rate it pays on reserves
correspondingly, the payment rises to $30 billion a year. Would Congress
appropriate that kind of money to give—not lend—to banks?
The Fed's policy of keeping interest rates so low for so long means
that the real rate (after accounting for inflation) is negative, thereby
cutting significantly the real income of those who have saved for
retirement over their lifetime.
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